Don't Dwell in a Chaotic State: Choosing the Right Market Is Risk Management's First Move Chinese stock discounts aren't a bargain — they're rational risk pricing. From golden share veto rights to the 2021 crash and 2026 cross-border broker crackdown, Shiba the Disciplined breaks down why market selection is the true first step in risk management.
選擇權市場真相:當你按下買進的那一刻,對手是誰? 2024 年美國選擇權市場每日名目交易量超越現貨,散戶買方三日平均虧損 16.4%,賣方勝率雖達 94%,但口數決定定價權。本文用數據解剖台美市場深度、買賣方真實勝率,以及散戶如何學習法人工具箱,從現貨出發交叉應用選擇權策略。
Options Market Reality Check: Who's on the Other Side When You Hit Buy? U.S. options hit $2.7T daily notional in 2024—surpassing equities. Retail buyers lose 16.4% over 3 days on average. Sellers win 94% at expiry, but win rate is not profitability. Breaks down market depth, buyer/seller asymmetry, and the institutional cross-instrument toolbox.
法人為什麼殺估值殺那麼兇:以及散戶如何反向獲利 EPS成長30%,股價卻跌58%——這不是市場瘋了,而是強迫性賣出、DCF 非線性懲罰、不確定性溢價、動能自我強化四個機制同時觸發的結果。法人在制度約束下做出理性但短視的決策,製造了價格與價值的背離。散戶的優勢從來不是速度,而是選好股、配好部位、等夠久——這三件事,才是散戶真正的護城河。